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Poland is approximately the same geographical size as Nevada. In the US, "between cities" is more like New York to Las Vegas, not Las Vegas to... uh, I couldn't think of another city in Nevada off the top of my head. What under-serviced route were you thinking of there?

What gives you the idea that rail would be preferable to flying for the NYC to LAS route if only it existed? Even as the crow flies it is approximately 4,000 km, meaning that at 200 km/h you are still looking at around 20 hours of travel in an ideal case. Instead of just 5 hours by plane. If you're poor an additional 15 hours wasted might not mean much, but when time is valuable?




> In the US, "between cities" is more like New York to Las Vegas, not Las Vegas to... uh, I couldn't think of another city in Nevada off the top of my head. What under-serviced route were you thinking of there?

Why would you constrain the route to within a specific state? In fact, right now a high-speed rail line is being planned between Las Vegas and LA.

But outside of Nevada, there are many equivalent distance routes in the US between major population centers, including:

Chicago/Detroit

Dallas/Houston

LA/SF

Atlanta/Charlotte


> In fact, right now a high-speed rail line is being planned between Las Vegas and LA.

Right now and since 1979!

I'll grant you that people love to plan, but it turns out that they don't love putting on their boots and picking up a shovel nearly as much.

> But outside of Nevada, there are many equivalent distance routes in the US between major population centers, including

And there is nothing stopping those lines from being built other than the lack of will to do it. As before, the will doesn't exist because better options exist.


There are a lot more obstacles than lack of will. There are also property rights, environmental reviews, availability of skilled workers, and lack of capital. HN users sometimes have this weird fantasy that with enough political will it's possible to make enormous changes but that's simply not how things operate in a republic with a dual sovereignty system.


> There are also property rights, environmental reviews, availability of skilled workers, and lack of capital.

There is no magic in this world like you seem to want to pretended. All of those things simply boil down to people. Property rights only exist because people say they do, environmental reviews only exist because people say they do, skilled workers are, well, literally people, and the necessary capital is already created. If the capital is being directed to other purposes, it is only because people decided those purposes are more important. All of this can change if the people want it to.

> HN users sometimes have this weird fantasy that with enough political will it's possible to make enormous changes but that's simply not how things operate in a republic with a dual sovereignty system.

Hell, the republic and dual sovereignty system itself only exists because that's what people have decided upon. Believe it or not, it wasn't enacted by some mythical genie in the sky. The people can change it all on a whim if the will is there.

The will isn't there of course, as there is no reason for the will to be there given that there are better options anyway, but if the will was there it'd be done already (like it already is in a few corners of the country where the will was present).


> Chicago/Detroit

There has been continuous regularly scheduled passenger service between Chicago and Detroit since before the Civil War. The current Amtrak Wolverine runs 110 MPH (180 KPH) for 90% of the route, using essentially the same trainset that Brightline plans to use.


Fair point. Last time I took that train (mid 1990s) it didn't run to Pontiac or Troy, and I recall there being very infrequent service. A far as I know, it's not the major mode of passenger transit between Detroit and Chicago. Cars are. That might be because of the serious lack of last-mile transit connectivity in the Detroit area.


Cars are definitely the major mode. Lots of quick flights, too.

They’ve made a lot of investments since the 1990s. It’s much improved, though perhaps not as nice as during the golden years when it was a big part of the New York Central system (from the 1890s to the 1960s they had daily trains that went Boston/NYC/Buffalo/Detroit/Chicago through Canada from Niagara Falls to Windsor).

During the first Trump administration, Amtrak announced a route that would go Chicago/Detroit/Toronto/Montreal/Quebec City using that same rail tunnel underneath the Detroit River. It was supposed to start by 2030. We’ll see if it happens.


Also, if you go all in and build something equivalent to Chinese bullet trains (that go with speeds up to 350km/h) you could do for example NY to Chicago in 3.5 hours, or even NY to Miami in 6 hours :-D (I know, not very realistic)


Not sure how we got from Scott A being a rationalist to trains, but since we're here, I want to say:

I've taken a Chinese train from Zhengzhou, in central China, to Shenzhen, and it was fantastic. Cheap, smooth, fast, lots of legroom, easy to get on and off or walk around to the dining car. And, there's a thing where boiling hot water is available, so everyone brings instant noodle packs of every variety to eat on the train.

Can't even imagine what the US would be like if we had that kind of thing.


Similar experience here. I'd always prefer it to flying.

Getting to the airport in most major cities takes an hour, and then there's the whole pre-flight security theatre, and the flights themselves are rarely pleasant. To add insult to injury, in the US it's usually a $50 cab ride to the airport and there are $28 ham-and-cheese sandwiches in the terminal if you get hungry.

In China and Japan the trains are centrally located, getting on takes ten minutes, and the rides are extremely comfortable. If such a thing existed in the US I think it would be extremely popular. Even if it was just SF-LA-Vegas.


> Getting to the airport in most major cities takes an hour

Do you mean beginning in the same city? If so, that's downright hilarious. I live 50 miles clear of the city, out in the middle of nowhere, and can be to the airport in the city in less than an hour.

> If such a thing existed in the US I think it would be extremely popular.

I don't know, if people willingly spend an hour getting from one point to another in the same city, the aren't apt to be concerned about how they get from one city to another. I expect they don't put much thought into anything.


Is being build? Um, not quite. Is being planned. Is arranging for right-of-way. But to the best of my knowledge, actual construction has not started.


If you can't think of another city in Nevada off the top of your head, are you even American? (Reno.)

Anyway, New York to Las Vegas spans most of the US. There are plenty of routes in the US where rail would make sense. Between Boston, New Haven, New York City, Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Washington, D.C. Which has the Amtrak Acela. Or perhaps Miami to Orlando. Which has a privately funded high speed rail connection called Brightline that runs at 200 km/h who's ridership was triple what had been expected at launch.


> are you even American?

I am, thankfully, not.

> Which has a privately funded high speed rail connection called Brightline that runs at 200 km/h

Which proves that when the will is there, it will be done. The only impediment in other places is simply the people not wanting it. If they wanted it, it would already be there.

The US has been here before. It built out a pretty good, even great, passenger rail network a couple of centuries ago when the people wanted it. It eventually died out simply because the people didn't want it anymore.

If they want it again in the future, it will return. But as for the moment...




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