> AI is starting to get better than humans at almost all intellectual tasks
"Starting" is doing a hell of lot of work in that sentence. I'm starting to become a billionaire and Nobel Prize winner.
Anyway, I agree with Mark Cuban's statement in the article. The most likely scenario is that we become more productive as AI complements humans. Yesterday I made this comment on another HN story:
"Copilot told me it's there to do the "tedious and repetitive" parts so I can focus my energy on the "interesting" parts. That's great. They do the things every programmer hates having to do. I'm more productive in the best possible way.
But ask it to do too much and it'll return error-ridden garbage filled with hallucinations, or just never finish the task. The economic case for further gains has diminished greatly while the cost of those gains rises."
It it sustainable? I know when I program, it's sometimes nice to get to something that's easy, even if it's tedious and repetitive. It's like stopping to walk for a bit when you're on a run. You're still moving, but you can catch your breath and recharge.
Oh, I agree, but I'd say that it's probably easier to do those small things than it is to figure out a prompt to have Copilot do them. If it feels good, there's no reason not to do it yourself. I think we'd all agree that it's a joy to be able to tell Copilot to write out the scaffolding at the start of a new project.
Suggests you are accumulating money, not losing it. That I think is the point of the original comment: AI is getting better, not worse. (Or humans are getting worse? Ha ha, not ha ha.)
> That I think is the point of the original comment: AI is getting better, not worse.
Well, in order to meet the standard of the quote "wipe out half of all entry-level office jobs … sometime soon. Maybe in the next couple of years" we need more than just getting better. We need considerably better technology with a better cost structure to wipe out that many jobs. Saying we're starting on that task when the odds are no better than me becoming a billionaire within two years is what we used to call BS.
"Starting" is doing a hell of lot of work in that sentence. I'm starting to become a billionaire and Nobel Prize winner.
Anyway, I agree with Mark Cuban's statement in the article. The most likely scenario is that we become more productive as AI complements humans. Yesterday I made this comment on another HN story:
"Copilot told me it's there to do the "tedious and repetitive" parts so I can focus my energy on the "interesting" parts. That's great. They do the things every programmer hates having to do. I'm more productive in the best possible way.
But ask it to do too much and it'll return error-ridden garbage filled with hallucinations, or just never finish the task. The economic case for further gains has diminished greatly while the cost of those gains rises."