If you are suggesting that people shouldn't underestimate the difficulty of the jobs of others - my answer is a strong yes. People should strive for accuracy in all cases. But I did suggest that even if true it does not negate my assertion so I am failing to see the relevance. Perhaps I have misunderstood your point.
Sorry, I was rather obscure - you said "My estimations don’t come from my assumption that other people’s jobs are easy, they come from doing applied research in behavioral analytics on mountains of data in rather large data centers."
And so I considered the preceding discussion in light of your last sentence. Which makes it sound like you are saying "I've observed the behavior of people and they're often flawed and foolish, regardless of the high ideals they claim to be striving for and the education they think they have. Therefore, they will do better with ChatGPT as a companion than with a real human being". But that's quite a few words that you may not have intended, for which I apologize!
It wasn't that I observed them being foolish but many behaviors are subtly linked to intelligence and can be combined to create a proxy IQ. It also helps when people search their SAT scores. I noted that the people I typically interact with are much higher IQ than I had expected which incorrectly skewed my believe of the average higher. I noticed that other high IQ individuals were making the same assumptions. I had very much underestimated how little I interact with regular people.
I think we're already finding out that people are doing better with ChatGPT than with their peers, not all peers are created equal, and they can ask ChatGPT things that they cannot ask their peers. I think this trend will continue to the point that most people will prefer discussing things with ChatGPT than with their peers. Given what I know I predict this is a choice many people will make, I'm not passing judgment on that, it's a choice I've also made and I'm fortunate enough to have better peers than most.
