Let's call the door you initially pick A.
car initial monty stick swap
A A B A C -- or Monty picks C, and you swap to B
B A C A B
C A B A C
So, if you stick, get it right 1/3, but swap get it right 2/3.
Let's call the door you initially pick A.
car initial monty stick swap
A A B A C -- or Monty picks C, and you swap to B
B A C A B
C A B A C
So, if you stick, get it right 1/3, but swap get it right 2/3.