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The other way to see it is by just looking at the different outcomes of car behind door A, B or C.

Let's call the door you initially pick A.

car initial monty stick swap

A A B A C -- or Monty picks C, and you swap to B

B A C A B

C A B A C

So, if you stick, get it right 1/3, but swap get it right 2/3.




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