Sweden’s position is that the trolley in this set of choices is eventually going to roll over roughly the same number of people no matter which lever is pulled. The timing varies in different scenarios, not the total numbers.
It just appears that the numbers are worse for them because the scenario hasn’t fully played out yet in all countries, and they chose the lever that has them taking their hits early. Comparisons with other countries aren’t appropriate, they would say, until all trolleys have stopped rolling.
And they are choosing their strategy deliberately, because they think there are various benefits (including epidemiological ones) of this path.
>rather than just a few
No. It looks like just a few. But that’s a false conclusion, taken only because we are still in the early stages. Other countries will catch up to their numbers.
The fatality rate seems to be declining globally, in part due to improved treatment. Even if that was the only objection to your claim, it would be a serious objection. In addition to that, we're also rapidly learning lessons about how to protect vulnerable patients in care homes (part of the "learning" here is just manufacturing enough PPE to do the job). Many of the elderly patients who died in Sweden's first wave might have been saved if they'd delayed the infections enough to apply what we've learned.
It just appears that the numbers are worse for them because the scenario hasn’t fully played out yet in all countries, and they chose the lever that has them taking their hits early. Comparisons with other countries aren’t appropriate, they would say, until all trolleys have stopped rolling.
And they are choosing their strategy deliberately, because they think there are various benefits (including epidemiological ones) of this path.
>rather than just a few
No. It looks like just a few. But that’s a false conclusion, taken only because we are still in the early stages. Other countries will catch up to their numbers.