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"People in their 20's will see peak world population in their lifetime. It will be fascinating to see how society changes over the decades that follow that."

I am 45. I have fairly big* chance of making the global population curve actually drop!

*OK, not really, but you get the point I hope....


All projections show world population growth until at least 2100, thanks to Africa birth rate above 4.

No, they don't. That's the UN prediction, because they assume that somehow, magically, all countries below replacement will simultaneously, near-instantly increase in fertility rate by huge amounts over the next couple of years. Look at the graphs, they're nonsensical.

If you look at the actual trends of those rates, peak population is ~2050, maybe sooner.


> near-instantly increase in fertility rate by huge amounts over the next couple of years

Nothing like this on Wikipedia. Do you have a better link?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_population_projections


What are the kids waiting for? Why are their parents there?

I think it is crazy that you have gates to get into the school grounds (buildings should be locked, I get that). Like my BIL in Sydney suburbs, he lives right next to a school with super nice basketball court etc, but can kids use those on weekends? Sadly no.

The gates here are open when school is not in session, and we (and other families) do in fact use the school grounds for playdates on weekends.

But yes, it sucks that they have to exist, and that my kids have active shooter drills and the school has a plan for what to do in a mass-casualty event. Though so far, every time they've triggered the secure campus protocols, it's because a baby coyote likes to hang out on the stairs.


"People still have insane fertility rates in complete - objectively shitholes - like Bangladesh, etc."

Here is the fertility rate in Bangladesh: https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/bgd/ban...


I stand corrected, it doesn't have "insane fertility rate".

That's still a high fertility rate for a country with stats like this: https://www.globalhungerindex.org/bangladesh.html

> 25.1% of children under five are stunted, 10.7% of children under five are wasted

And the country had even higher fertility rates when it had higher frequency of famines, and much higher rates of hunger and malnourishment.

The point i was making however, is that parents don't truly - at a deeper level - consider the quality of life they are subjecting their child to.

Natural selection doesn't maximize for quality of life (it doesn't care for it), it selects for procreation and survival.


i think those stats show the opposite. They had higher fertility rate when things were worse, but women mostly didnt have a choice. Now they're better but still bad, and women do have a choice - so they are choosing not to, judging by the collapsed birth rate.

Interesting that you only seem to think that mothers should take care of their kids.

I was raised by a single father, but thanks for derailing the conversation with your assumption that I'm a sexist because I didn't account for the edge case in parenting.

If you think that fathers taking care of their kids is an "edge case in parenting" I don't really have anything to add.

Just a reminder.

The point of religion and beliefs is that it can't be proven. If gods existence could be proven we wouldn't believe anymore. We don't believe in gravity for example.


When you have federal agents going around murdering people* in the US, the biggest problem you feel to write about is some kind of fear that private car insurance will be more expensive in the future. Good prioritization!

* I know you can have two thoughts at once, but the timing says a lot IMO.


I mean, his agenda is pretty obvious from the very first paragraph.


Chess games usually have time limits, so pretty easy. Cross words depend on the size and difficulty.


Excellent example why anything else than work hours is pointless to estimate in.


How much plumbing knowledge do you have?


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