I read what you say, but I can hardly imagine how people can be twice as productive. I use Claude daily for writing various scripts. It produces a lot of code, so yes, if I measured it by generated code, then it's productive. However, it works best for short, clearly defined tasks/scripts. If you want anything longer, you have to watch it like a hawk so it doesn't go off track. And I'm not sure if I would give this code to someone else to use without a thorough review. I would say it may be even less productive (I think there was a paper on that).
I also use LLMs for writing; it's good, but again, you need to carefully read everything and rewrite passages that are completely made up. So I'm not really sure how this can replace people, to the point that Amazon is firing 30,000 people. I have a hard time squaring it that it's because of AI.
When developers are allowed to use AI tools, they take 19% longer to complete issues—a significant slowdown that goes against developer beliefs and expert forecasts. This gap between perception and reality is striking: developers expected AI to speed them up by 24%, and even after experiencing the slowdown, they still believed AI had sped them up by 20%.
When developers are allowed to use AI tools, they take 19% longer to complete issues—a significant slowdown that goes against developer beliefs and expert forecasts. This gap between perception and reality is striking: developers expected AI to speed them up by 24%, and even after experiencing the slowdown, they still believed AI had sped them up by 20%.
What i have seen is that those who resigned had 20+ years experience and younger folks stayed. So it was a bit of a brain drain, at least from my limited interaction with the three letter agencies.
I’m more irritated by the comingling of small, fragile products with large, heavy ones in the same box, like a box of crackers shipped together with detergent. Because of this, I had to stop my Subscribe & Save orders. Every month they would do this nonsense.
I have a cell phone with an area code where I no longer have any connections or ties. Almost all the spam calls I receive come from that area code. By simply ignoring or blocking calls from that area code, I can avoid nearly all of the spam.
I've enjoyed that state of affairs for over a decade but now I'm moving back to where my area code matches my physical location. I'm sad I'll be losing this easy filtering trick.
On the plus side, iOS and Android now have features for auto-answering and filtering so thankfully I have that.
